Demand Forecasting

Do you trust your planning?

pacemaker.ai generates forecasts based on your sales history, your planners' expertise, and external factors. This results in 10% higher forecast accuracy compared to traditional methods.

over
10%
forecast improvement
live in
14 Days
Highest Precision*
The problem

Numbers alone don't make a forecast you can trust.

Looking back, not ahead
Last year's numbers tell you what happened. Seasonal shifts, calendar effects, and market changes rarely make it into the picture.
Padding, not precision
Items not included in the forecast quickly end up in the safety stock. This takes up warehouse space and ties up capital unnecessarily.
Black box, not clarity
No explainability, no trust. Forecasts get overridden and decisions fall back on intuition.
What makes the difference

This is how accurate a forecast can be.

Same assortment, same history, two forecasting methods. The purple area is the gap between forecast and actual sales. That gap has a price. Today you pay it in safety stock or in stockouts.

actual sales
forecast
gap
high
safety stock to absorb forecast error
manual
planning work, every cycle
actual sales
forecast
gap
lower
safety stock to absorb forecast error
automated
forecasting, no manual rework
SALES VS. FORECAST · LAST 20 WEEKS
How the forecast is built

All relevant data flows into one forecast that lands directly in your system.

We use the data you already have and build on your existing system landscape. That keeps implementation lean and the effort low.

Source 1
Your history

Sales and inventory data from your ERP system, at item level and spanning the time period covered by your systems.

Source 2
External factors

Seasonality, calendar effects, and everything else that moves your sales but never shows up in historical sales data.

Source 3
Your planners' knowledge

Promotions, tenders, one-off effects. Everything your team knows but the data doesn't reflect.

Result
Forecasts for every item and planning cycle, in your target system

The models recalculate the moment new data arrives. Your team keeps working in the ERP. Same process, better numbers. Replenishment Decision Intelligence takes it one step further and converts each forecast into concrete order proposals.

Features

Features your planners actually use every day.

The software takes over the repetitive work, makes the reasoning visible, and gives your team a reliable foundation for making better decisions.

Consensus

A forecast that everyone agrees on.

The AI forecast provides the numbers. Through the consensus process, these numbers are used to develop a shared target that sales, planning, and management all support. The forecast thus becomes a common foundation for informed decisions in the S&OP process.

Market and customer view
Sales

The sales department assesses the expected demand and supplements it with its perspective on the market and customers. This creates a shared understanding that serves as the basis for further planning.

Purchasing and inventory
Supply Chain

Procurement and inventory are based on joint planning. Changes are immediately visible to everyone. This ensures that Sales, Supply Chain, and Management are always working with the same information.

Decision and sign-off
Management

In executive S&OP, management makes the final decisions and signs off on the plan. Because everyone works from the same data, the focus is on decisions rather than debates about the numbers.

Same meeting, different conversation.
Data foundation

All functions work from the same version. Reconciling Excel files is no longer needed, because only one version exists.

Scenarios

Each planning cycle comes with an optimistic, a realistic, and a conservative scenario.

Alignment

The session no longer starts with a comparison of the numbers, it starts with a discussion of the variances. That cuts alignment effort significantly.

Your benefit

An accurate forecast pays off in four places at once

Over 10% higher forecast accuracy

Measured against traditional methods, across the entire assortment, not just the fast movers.

Less capital tied up in inventory

The smaller the forecast error, the less coverage safety stock has to provide. Working capital benefits directly.

More reliable service levels

Demand peaks become visible earlier. Potential shortages surface in time to act.

More efficient planning

Forecasts are generated automatically rather than built in spreadsheets. Your team discusses variances instead of maintaining formulas.

In Practice

Used by leading supply chain teams.

How other teams use our software to improve their supply chains.

By integrating advanced AI and machine learning into our supply chain planning, we achieve greater forecast accuracy, reduced inventory levels, and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Tatjana Sauter
Director Supply Chain Management · Eberspächer Group
Zur Success Story
Replenishment decisions are among the most complex decisions in our supply chain – thousands of trade-offs every day. Together with pacemaker.ai, we changed how our teams make these decisions. The result: better supply reliability and less capital tied up in inventory across our global operations.
Luisa Langer
VP Global Procurement · tk accelis Supply Chain Solutions
Zur Success Story
At Hettich, we have recognized the extent to which changing conditions in logistics have an impact on planning security. To meet these challenges, we rely on advanced technologies such as pacemaker.ai.
Rudi Reimer
Executive Assistant to the CEO, Hettich
Zur Success Story
Getting started

From first conversation to a live forecast in 14 days

Getting started is simple. After a short scoping call, we can move straight into onboarding.
After a brief scoping meeting, we can get started right away with onboarding.

Optional: 14 tägiger Proof of Value
1
Scope & Daten
2
Modellbau
3
Backtest
4
Ergebnis
Day 0
Your data
Demo, use case, and data requirements.
Day 1 to 14
Connection & setup
Connect data, configure the forecast.
From day 14
Go-live
Forecasts run on the SaaS platform.
Ongoing
Forecast in regular operation
A fixed part of your planning.
FAQ

Questions about Demand Forecasting

In 30 minutes, we'll answer your questions and review your use case together.

Still have questions? Get in touch!

Fundamental Questions
What is AI-powered demand forecasting?

Demand forecasting predicts future requirements at the item level. Machine learning models evaluate internal sales and inventory data together with external influencing factors. The result is a demand forecast that helps you avoid excess inventory and supply shortages.

How accurate are the forecasts?

Our forecasts improve accuracy by an average of more than 10 percent compared to traditional methods. The extent of this improvement in your case depends on your product assortment, data quality, and demand patterns. That is why we compare the results with your own historical data before implementation.

Is it clear how a forecast comes about?

Yes. Forecast Explanations show which factors influence each forecast value. Your planners see not only the number but also its drivers, and they keep decision authority.

How does implementation work?

In three phases: a Data Thinking Workshop to review the use case and data foundation, onboarding with first forecasts based on your numbers, then the transition into regular operation. At Eberspächer, five weeks passed between kickoff and go-live.

Can the forecasts be combined with other products?

Yes. Replenishment Decision Intelligence builds on the demand forecasts and translates them into order quantities, safety stock, and reorder points per item and location. Commodity Price Forecasting adds raw material prices to the procurement perspective.

What does the software cost?

Pricing depends on company size, scope of use, and forecast complexity. In an initial conversation, we look at your case and give you a reliable ballpark.

*Up to 99% forecast accuracy, as measured in customer projects
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